Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.189132 0.224141 0.263363 0.310499 0.365543 0.427722 0.503225
2025-06-22 0.137475 0.182411 0.238232 0.312399 0.408064 0.526981 0.685674
2025-06-29 0.106085 0.153321 0.216732 0.307525 0.433541 0.601519 0.841528
2025-07-06 0.085285 0.132389 0.199838 0.302564 0.453967 0.667573 0.990095
2025-07-13 0.074680 0.123272 0.196805 0.314836 0.497856 0.768678 1.196886
2025-07-20 0.068548 0.119490 0.200433 0.336502 0.557063 0.897252 1.457036
2025-07-27 0.062035 0.113764 0.199764 0.350631 0.605348 1.013390 1.709665
2025-08-03 0.054125 0.104227 0.191216 0.350160 0.629109 1.092279 1.910159
2025-08-10 0.045744 0.092390 0.176875 0.337455 0.630004 1.132771 2.050155
2025-08-17 0.038235 0.080892 0.161384 0.320318 0.620458 1.153562 2.157218
2025-08-24 0.034188 0.075452 0.156265 0.321426 0.643579 1.232961 2.374047
2025-08-31 0.029654 0.068267 0.146739 0.312692 0.646899 1.276400 2.529092
2025-09-07 0.027085 0.065073 0.145217 0.320632 0.685387 1.392693 2.839221
2025-09-14 0.024147 0.060608 0.140515 0.321627 0.710628 1.487384 3.120210
2025-09-21 0.021140 0.055422 0.133452 0.316527 0.722508 1.556846 3.358574
2025-09-28 0.018565 0.050782 0.126857 0.311421 0.733504 1.625277 3.601372
2025-10-05 0.017460 0.049604 0.128032 0.324032 0.784633 1.781795 4.042081
2025-10-12 0.017005 0.050029 0.133063 0.346295 0.860009 1.997129 4.628324
2025-10-19 0.016128 0.049163 0.134793 0.360812 0.919136 2.182861 5.167996
2025-10-26 0.014587 0.046166 0.130692 0.360328 0.942659 2.291782 5.547963
2025-11-02 0.012673 0.041721 0.122131 0.347274 0.934019 2.326644 5.763588
2025-11-09 0.010828 0.037108 0.112381 0.329665 0.911733 2.327247 5.899636
2025-11-16 0.009906 0.035169 0.109735 0.330804 0.937424 2.444210 6.321537